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An idealized ice–ocean model is used to study the time-dependent Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) responses to a sudden uniform surface warming and/or an amplified evaporation minus precipitation (E−P) forcing. At transient time scales, the AMOC initially weakens in response to both types of forcing as a result of buoyancy gain in the North Atlantic, but the amplified E−P response is an order of magnitude smaller when its amplitude is chosen based on the Clausius–Clapeyron scaling, consistent with its weaker initial buoyancy flux anomaly. At equilibrium, the AMOC here weakens under warming, contrasting with previous idealized modeling studies. The difference is attributed to a larger role of North Atlantic warming (acting to weaken the AMOC) and a weaker role of reduced brine rejection around Antarctica (acting to deepen and strengthen the AMOC). When E−P forcing is amplified, the AMOC strengthens, qualitatively consistent with a previously proposed passive response that predicts an enhancement of the existing salinity pattern in equilibrium, although the amplification of the salinity contrast is significantly damped by a negative salt advection feedback. For a small-amplitude change in both temperature and E−P, the AMOC response can be approximated by the linear combination of the individual responses. However, large-amplitude warming and amplified E−P forcing can lead to a positive salt advection feedback that collapses the AMOC in our simulations. To understand why the sign of the salt advection feedback varies across different simulations, its multifaceted roles are further investigated using box model theories, and their relevance to comprehensive models is discussed.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available July 15, 2026
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During the last glacial period, the Northern Hemisphere climate underwent dramatic swings between relatively warm periods and cold periods—the Dansgaard–Oeschger oscillations. Here, we use recent progress in our theoretical understanding of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to develop a simple predictive model that relates variations in the overturning circulation to rapid changes in North Atlantic sea ice and the gradual recharge and discharge of the deep ocean temperature. The robustness of the model is tested against results from idealized general circulation model simulations, and exploration of its parameter space provides insights into the mechanisms dictating the overturning circulation’s response to atmospheric forcing variations. The theoretical model predicts that global atmospheric temperature and salinity fluxes control the relative length of stadial versus interstadial conditions and reproduces the evolving characteristics of theδ18O isotope ice core record over the last 100 kyr when forced only by the slowly changing global mean temperature. The findings indicate that the prominent climate variability observed in the Greenland ice cores is directly influenced by the gradual evolution of global temperatures and salinity fluxes. This variability can be attributed to a relatively simple physical mechanism that involves the interplay of fast positive sea ice and salt-advection feedbacks, along with a delayed negative deep-ocean-temperature feedback.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available July 1, 2026
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We investigate the role of Southern Ocean topography and wind stress in the deep and abyssal ocean overturning and water mass composition using a suite of idealized global ocean circulation models. Specifically, we address how the presence of a meridional ridge in the vicinity of Drake Passage and the formation of an associated Southern Ocean gyre influence the water mass composition of the abyssal cell. Our experiments are carried out using a numerical representation of the global ocean circulation in an idealized two-basin geometry under varying wind stress and Drake Passage ridge height. In the presence of a low Drake Passage ridge, the overall strength of the meridional overturning circulation is primarily influenced by wind stress, with a topographically induced weakening of the middepth cell and concurrent strengthening of the abyssal cell occurring only after ridge height passes 2500 m. Passive tracer experiments show that a strengthening middepth cell leads to increased abyssal ventilation by North Atlantic water masses, as more North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) enters the Southern Ocean and then spreads into the Indo-Pacific. We repeat our tracer experiments without restoring in the high-latitude Southern Ocean in order to identify the origin of water masses that circulate through the Southern Ocean before sinking into the abyss as Antarctic Bottom Water. Our results from these “exchange” tracer experiments show that an increasing ridge height in Drake Passage and the concurrent gyre spinup lead to substantially decreased NADW-origin waters in the abyssal ocean, as more surface waters from north of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) are transferred into the Antarctic Bottom Water formation region. Significance StatementThe objective of this study is to investigate how topographic features in the Southern Ocean can affect the overall structure of Earth’s large-scale ocean circulation and the distribution of water masses in the abyssal ocean. We focus on the Southern Ocean because the region is of central importance for exchange between the Atlantic and Indo-Pacific Ocean basins and for CO2and heat uptake into the abyssal ocean. Our results indicate that Southern Ocean topography plays a major role in the overall circulation by 1) controlling the direct transfer of abyssal waters from the Atlantic to the Indo-Pacific via its influence on the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and 2) controlling the coupling between the abyssal ocean and surface waters north of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current via the Southern Ocean gyre.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2025
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We quantify the volume transport and watermass transformation rates of the global overturning circulation using the Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean version 4 release 4 (ECCOv4r4) reanalysis product. The ECCO solution shows large rates of intercell exchange between the mid‐depth and abyssal cells, consistent with other recent inferences. About 10 Sv of North Atlantic deep water enters the abyssal cell in the Southern Ocean and is balanced by a similar amount of apparrent diapycnal upwelling in the Indo‐Pacific. However, much of the upwelling in ECCO's deep ocean is not associated with irreversible watermass transformations, as typically assumed in theoretical models. Instead, a dominant portion of the abyssal circulation in ECCO is associated with isopycnal volume tendencies, reflecting a deep ocean in a state of change and a circulation in which transient tendencies play a leading role in the watermass budget. These volume tendencies are particularly prominent in the Indo‐Pacific, where ECCO depicts a cooling and densifying deep ocean with relatively little mixing‐driven upwelling, in disagreement with recent observations of deep Indo‐Pacific warming trends. Although abyssal ocean observations are insufficient to exclude the trends modeled by ECCO, we note that ECCO's parameterized diapycnal mixing in the abyssal ocean is much smaller than observational studies suggest and may lead to an under‐representation of Antarctic Bottom Water consumption in the abyssal ocean. Whether or not ECCO's tendencies are realistic, they are a key part of its abyssal circulation and hence need to be taken into consideration when interpreting the ECCO solution.more » « less
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Understanding surface temperature is important for habitability. Recent work on Mars has found that the dependence of surface temperature on elevation (surface lapse rate) converges to zero in the limit of a thin CO2 atmosphere. However, the mechanisms that control the surface lapse rate are still not fully understood. It remains unclear how the surface lapse rate depends on both greenhouse effect and surface pressure. Here, we use climate models to study when and why “mountaintops are cold.” We find the tropical surface lapse rate increases with the greenhouse effect and with surface pressure. The greenhouse effect dominates the surface lapse rate transition and is robust across latitudes. The pressure effect is important at low latitudes in moderately opaque (τ ∼ 0.1) atmospheres. A simple model provides insights into the mechanisms of the transition. Our results suggest that topographic cold‐trapping may be important for the climate of arid planets.more » « less
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Abstract Energy exchanges between large-scale ocean currents and mesoscale eddies play an important role in setting the large-scale ocean circulation but are not fully captured in models. To better understand and quantify the ocean energy cycle, we apply along-isopycnal spatial filtering to output from an isopycnal 1/32° primitive equation model with idealized Atlantic and Southern Ocean geometry and topography. We diagnose the energy cycle in two frameworks: 1) a non-thickness-weighted framework, resulting in a Lorenz-like energy cycle, and 2) a thickness-weighted framework, resulting in the Bleck energy cycle. This paper shows that framework 2 is more useful for studying energy pathways when an isopycnal average is used. Next, we investigate the Bleck cycle as a function of filter scale. Baroclinic conversion generates mesoscale eddy kinetic energy over a wide range of scales and peaks near the deformation scale at high latitudes but below the deformation scale at low latitudes. Away from topography, an inverse cascade transfers kinetic energy from the mesoscales to larger scales. The upscale energy transfer peaks near the energy-containing scale at high latitudes but below the deformation scale at low latitudes. Regions downstream of topography are characterized by a downscale kinetic energy transfer, in which mesoscale eddies are generated through barotropic instability. The scale- and flow-dependent energy pathways diagnosed in this paper provide a basis for evaluating and developing scale- and flow-aware mesoscale eddy parameterizations. Significance Statement Blowing winds provide a major energy source for the large-scale ocean circulation. A substantial fraction of this energy is converted to smaller-scale eddies, which swirl through the ocean as sea cyclones. Ocean turbulence causes these eddies to transfer part of their energy back to the large-scale ocean currents. This ocean energy cycle is not fully simulated in numerical models, but it plays an important role in transporting heat, carbon, and nutrients throughout the world’s oceans. The purpose of this study is to quantify the ocean energy cycle by using fine-scale idealized numerical simulations of the Atlantic and Southern Oceans. Our results provide a basis for how to include unrepresented energy exchanges in coarse global climate models.more » « less
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Abstract Building on previous work using single-basin models, we here explore the time-dependent response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) to a sudden global temperature change in a two-basin ocean–ice model. We find that the previously identified mechanisms remain qualitatively useful to explain the transient and the long-term time-mean responses of the AMOC in our simulations. Specifically, we find an initial weakening of the AMOC in response to warming (and vice versa for cooling), controlled by the mid-depth meridional temperature contrast across the Atlantic basin. The long-term mean response instead is controlled primarily by changes in the abyssal stratification within the basin. In contrast to previous studies we find that for small-amplitude surface temperature changes, the equilibrium AMOC is almost unchanged, as the abyssal stratification remains similar due to a substantial compensation between the effects of salinity and temperature changes. The temperature-driven stratification change results from the differential warming/cooling between North Atlantic Deep Water and Antarctic Bottom Water, while the salinity change is driven by changes in Antarctic sea ice formation. Another distinct feature of our simulations is the emergence of AMOC variability in the much colder and much warmer climates. We discuss how this variability is related to variations in deep-ocean heat content, surface salinity, and sea ice in the deep convective regions, both in the North Atlantic and in the Southern Ocean, and its potential relevance to past and future climates.more » « less
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null (Ed.)Abstract Although the reconfiguration of the abyssal overturning circulation has been argued to be a salient feature of Earth’s past climate changes, our understanding of the physical mechanisms controlling its strength remains limited. In particular, existing scaling theories disagree on the relative importance of the dynamics in the Southern Ocean versus the dynamics in the basins to the north. In this study, we systematically investigate these theories and compare them with a set of numerical simulations generated from an ocean general circulation model with idealized geometry, designed to capture only the basic ingredients considered by the theories. It is shown that the disagreement between existing theories can be partially explained by the fact that the overturning strengths measured in the channel and in the basin scale distinctly with the external parameters, including surface buoyancy loss, diapycnal diffusivity, wind stress, and eddy diffusivity. The overturning in the reentrant channel, which represents the Southern Ocean, is found to be sensitive to all these parameters, in addition to a strong dependence on bottom topography. By contrast, the basin overturning varies with the integrated surface buoyancy loss rate and diapycnal diffusivity but is mostly unaffected by winds and channel topography. The simulated parameter dependence of the basin overturning can be described by a scaling theory that is based only on basin dynamics.more » « less
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null (Ed.)Abstract It remains uncertain how the Southern Ocean circulation responds to changes in surface wind stress, and whether coarse-resolution simulations, where mesoscale eddy fluxes are parameterized, can adequately capture the response. We address this problem using two idealized model setups mimicking the Southern Ocean: a flat-bottom channel and a channel with moderately complex topography. Under each topographic configuration and varying wind stress, we compare several coarse-resolution simulations, configured with different eddy parameterizations, against an eddy-resolving simulation. We find that 1) without topography, sensitivity of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) to wind stress is overestimated by coarse-resolution simulations, due to an underestimate of the sensitivity of the eddy diffusivity; 2) in the presence of topography, stationary eddies dominate over transient eddies in counteracting the direct response of the ACC and overturning circulation to wind stress changes; and 3) coarse-resolution simulations with parameterized eddies capture this counteracting effect reasonably well, largely due to their ability to resolve stationary eddies. Our results highlight the importance of topography in modulating the response of the Southern Ocean circulation to changes in surface wind stress. The interaction between mesoscale eddies and stationary meanders induced by topography requires more attention in future development and testing of eddy parameterizations.more » « less
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Abstract A toy model for the deep ocean overturning circulation in multiple basins is presented and applied to study the role of buoyancy forcing and basin geometry in the ocean’s global overturning. The model reproduces the results from idealized general circulation model simulations and provides theoretical insights into the mechanisms that govern the structure of the overturning circulation. The results highlight the importance of the diabatic component of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) for the depth of North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) and for the interbasin exchange of deep ocean water masses. This diabatic component, which extends the upper cell in the Atlantic below the depth of adiabatic upwelling in the Southern Ocean, is shown to be sensitive to the global area-integrated diapycnal mixing rate and the density contrast between NADW and Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW). The model also shows that the zonally averaged global overturning circulation is to zeroth-order independent of whether the ocean consists of one or multiple connected basins, but depends on the total length of the southern reentrant channel region (representing the Southern Ocean) and the global ocean area integrated diapycnal mixing. Common biases in single-basin simulations can thus be understood as a direct result of the reduced domain size.more » « less
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